Wednesday, December 20, 2017

The Attacks on Robert Mueller’s Investigation

In recent weeks, congressional Republicans and supporters have escalated their attacks on special investigator Robert S Mueller III, whose team is examining Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election.  These attacks are largely baseless and continue the strategy of undermining the investigation through distraction and empty accusation.  The two most recent examples are attacks on:
  • Mueller’s recent acquisition from the General Services Administration of emails from the Trump transition team before his inauguration; and
  • congressional discovery of texts that disparaged the President between two members of Mueller’s investigative teams.
The point I want to make in this post is that these diversionary attacks are less serious as threats to the investigation than as threats to American democracy. 

Before I get to that, here’s the background.  In May of this year, President Trump abruptly fired FBI Director James Comey, thus decapitating the criminal investigation of the collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government.  Trump later acknowledged that he fired Comey “because of this Russia thing.” In doing so, he opened himself to charges of obstruction of justice. 

Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein quickly appointed Mueller, a former head of the FBI, who was deeply respected by Democrats and Republicans alike, as a special counsel in order to continue the investigation.  The appointment specifically authorized Mueller to bring criminal charges if appropriate. 

Witch Hunt?

Since the discovery of the Russian involvement, President Trump has steadfastly dismissed any serious Russian meddling in the election despite the high confidence of the CIA, FBI, NSA and the Director of National Intelligence to the contrary.  He soon began criticizing Mueller’s handling of the investigation as a “witch hunt.”

Late last week, the President’s attorneys renewed the attack on Mueller for his “illegal” acquisition of Trump campaign emails.  Jennifer Rubin has thoroughly discredited the notion that emails on official government networks (“.gov”) have any expectation of privacy.

Even without reasonable basis, Fox News commentators piled on, calling the investigation “illegitimate” and “corrupt,” charging that Mueller had put the country “on the brink of becoming a banana republic.”  They compared the FBI to the Soviet KGB, suggesting that the FBI has become America’s secret police and should be shut down.
Coup d'État?

The drumbeat has grown louder with recent accusations of partisanship within Mueller’s investigation.  Here’s the story there:

In July, the FBI discovered text messages between one of Mueller’s lead investigators, Peter Strzok, and Lisa Page, an FBI lawyer no longer involved in the investigation.  Strzok and Page were in the midst of an extra-marital affair and (mistakenly) believed the texts personal and private.  Once Mueller discovered the texts, he immediately removed Strzok from the case.

Several weeks ago, however, in response to a congressional request, Mueller handed over to Congress text messages from the investigation, including those between Strzok and Page.

Republicans pounced, saying that Mueller’s investigation was tainted with “partisanship.”  Some suggested the need for a second special counsel.  Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn said that Mueller “needs to clean house of partisans.”  “This bias is like an infection,” tweeted Republican representative, Matt Gaetz.  “It’s an incurable cancer that’s inoperable, and we’ve got to end this Mueller probe once and for all.”  “We are at risk of a coup d'état in this country if we allow an unaccountable person with no oversight to undermine the duly-elected President of the United States,” said Gaetz.  Fox News commentators agreed

A Few Facts 

Regarding Mueller’s acquisition of the campaign emails, the most important thing to realize is that absolutely no evidence has been presented for wrongdoing; and independent experts have corroborated that Mueller acquired the emails properly.

Regarding Mueller’s acquisition of the campaign emails, the most important thing to realize is that absolutely no evidence has been presented for wrongdoing; and independent experts have corroborated that Mueller acquired the emails properly. 

In the Strzok case, there no evidence of bias in his professional work; the texts themselves do express strong personal political opinions, but they were personal, intended only for his lover, expressing only his private opinions.  Political opinions, however, do not usually disqualify one from unbiased legal investigation. 

It’s important to note again that, once Mueller became aware of the texts, he dismissed Strzok immediately.  This prompt, unequivocal action should dispel any suspicions of partisanship in the investigation.

Possible Republican Intentions

Since they have no reasonable basis, the attacks on Mueller are presumably preparatory, attempting to undermine in advance public perception of the investigation’s reliability. 

What might the attacks be preparing for?

First, since Trump believes he has the power to fire Mueller, it’s possible that the Republican attacks are preparing to justify just that.  I think this unlikely, however, for it would open the President to further charges of obstruction of justice and would and further compromise his dwindling public support.  In addition, several Republican senators have openly warned Trump against this option.  And Trump himself has been unusually consistent in denying his intention of fire Mueller, despite recurrent hints from his circle of advisors that it is in the works.

A second, more likely possibility is that these attacks are preparing to provide cover for congressional dismissal of the investigation.  Having paved the way for the public’s mistrust of Mueller and what he finds, Republicans would have greater freedom simply to ignore his findings and recommendations. 

A third purpose of these attacks is simply to distract from the entire issue.  Since this kind of distraction has been a recurring theme during the Trump presidency, I’ll examine it at greater length in a future post.

Danger to Democracy

Fundamental to a democracy is equality before the law.  Although frequently ignored in practice, the principle remains a basic public commitment.  Whether Trump has violated the law or not, the raw political power transparently engaged in preventing a legal determination seriously undermines confidence in our democracy. 

If our powerful elected officials are immune from wrongdoing, our democracy hangs by a thread.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Tribalism and Democracy

It’s a messy mix. Today’s Alabama Senate election holds up to our view the dirty underwear of politics: accusations of sexual misconduct and child abuse, unseemly disregard for basic morality in order ensure the success a political party, and yet deeper public disdain for the political process.

Roy Moore—the former Alabama chief justice twice removed from his seat for unconstitutional rulings—is the Republican candidate for the Alabama Senate seat to replace Jeff Sessions, who resigned to become US Attorney General. 

Moore has recently been credibly accused by Leigh Corfman of enticing her to his home when she was fourteen (and he thirty-two), removing first his and then her clothes down to their underwear, fondling her and then forcing her to fondle him.  Since then, a number of woman have come forward with complaints of Moore's sexual advances while they were teenagers.

Roy Moore does not by himself endanger American democracy; we’ve had sleazy candidates elected to national office before.  But Donald Trump does.  His endorsement and active role in Moore’s campaign is one more attack that further erodes America’s fragile confidence in our system of government.

For the purposes of this post, it’s not necessary to judge the truth or falsity of the accusations.  It’s enough to notice that neither President Trump nor the Republican leadership has denied them.  Most importantly, almost three-fourths of Americans expressing an opinion believe the accusers (although just over half of Alabama’s voters don’t).

The political pressure on the Republican Party, of course, is enormous.  Their hold on the Senate is tenuous, 52 – 48.  The Alabama Senate seat would ordinarily be safely Republican.  But because of the accusations against Moore, there is some chance that the Democratic candidate will win, which would endanger the Republican stranglehold on Supreme Court justice appointments and much else. 

It’s easy to understand that rank political considerations favor Trump’s intervention, which could well be decisive.  But it’s also important to recognize that over half of Americans will interpret the President’s support as condoning felony assault of a minor.  The President clearly believes that the electorate won’t care enough to punish him, itself an indication of the state of our democracy.

Columnist Dana Milbank has written in the Washington Post about tribalism, the loyalty one feels to one’s own group, the commitment to the welfare of that group over the welfare of the whole.  We all feel it to some degree, but most of us place limits on it.  The President’s peculiar brand of tribalism, however, demonstrates virtually no limits; at the very least it does not stop at the bounds of common morality.

As I’ve written earlier, democracy does not function without the people’s trust in government.  Today, less than twenty percent of Americans trust the government to do what is right “most of the time.”  When the President condones sexual abuse for the good of his political party, trust in government erodes even further, and Americans’ willingness to participate in the process—even to the extent of voting—erodes with it.  Even with their own party in power, less than thirty percent of Republicans trust the government.

One victory for democracy has been the mobilization of a strong anti-Trump political movement.  Millions who were previously inactive are participating.  The President has stirred thousands of Americans to become candidates for political office, a sign that many of us still believe in democratic governance.

In a few hours, we’ll know whom Alabamans have elected as their Senator.  Whether Moore wins or loses, President Trump has already landed another blow to our reeling democracy.  Yes, the democracy still holds, but I wonder how much more it can take.

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

If Science Doesn’t Give Us Truth, What Does?


Immediately on writing the title, I feel the need to equivocate. 

  • Well, yes, occasionally science misinterprets the data … but it quickly catches itself.
  • Well, no, science can’t prove anything; it’s all theory … that’s the nature of science. 
  • Well, yes, some scientists are in the pay of big corporations … but it’s a minority and they are concentrated in a few industries, like pharmaceuticals, and their conclusions are still subject to peer-review.

The mere fact of my defensiveness around science tells us something scary about the decline of our country.  Any democracy requires its citizens to accept basic, well-known facts, especially those that impact governance.  If we can’t depend on science to set the basic boundaries of truth, what can we depend on?

And the answer at this time is, “Nothing.  Within today’s American culture there is no standard for truth.”

It’s not unusual for politicians to deny the inconvenient truths of science.  The most obvious and most dangerous example is an entire political party that denies the fact of human-induced climate change.  Another is that politicians still talk about evolution as an “unproven theory” for fear of offending their base.  And politicians still claim that vaccinations can cause autism or other serious illness despite overwhelming evidence against it.

But President Trump has taken science denial to a whole new level.  Most notoriously, he has withdrawn the US from the Paris Climate Accord, leaving us as the only UN member not signed on.  And that’s not all:


President Trump has gone out of his way to appoint as agency administrators precisely the people who’ve previously attacked those agencies for following scientific consensus.  For example, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Scott Pruitt described himself – when serving as Oklahoma’s Attorney General and suing the EPA fourteen times – as the “leading advocate against the EPA’s activist agenda.” 

As administrator of the agency, he removed from the EPA website critical scientific data about climate change, greenhouse gas emissions, and arctic sea loss; in fact, he later eliminated the entire climate change section.  Pruitt also announced that, despite staff recommendations, he would not ban a pesticide that poses a clear risk to children, farm workers, and rural drinking water users.

In an unprecedented move Pruitt has prohibited all scientists who receive grant money from the EPA from serving on its science advisory board, thus barring the most qualified scientists in the country from the board.  While the agency touted this as a way to decrease conflicts of interest, Pruitt has not disqualified any scientists funded by industries the agency is tasked with regulating.   

Another Presidential nomination flying in the face of scientific consensus is that of former Texas governor Rick Perry to head the US Department of Energy.  Perry had previously called for abolishing the agency, which is responsible, among other things, for steering energy policy as it affects the climate.  Just this month, Perry said natural causes are likely the main driver of climate change.

And yet another example: Trump appointed Sam Clovis, a former talk show host and political science professor, as the chief scientist for the U.S. Department of Agriculture.  The 2008 farm bill states that the person filling the post be chosen “from among distinguished scientists with specialized training or significant experience in agricultural research, education, and economics.”  Clovis is not a scientist at all, much less distinguished.  After a political uproar, Clovis resigned the position, but the President had already made his opinions clear.

Perhaps most compelling (but not surprising), the President has yet to fill the post of Presidential Science Advisor, which has now remained vacant far longer than in any other administration in the last forty-five years.

The practical consequences of each these particular actions are bad enough.  But perhaps more harmful to our polarized democracy is that the President is encouraging an atmosphere in which science is automatically suspect and has no more claim to truth than a neighbor’s anecdote or a random page on the Internet.  This leaves us with no standard for truth, so meaningful political debate becomes impossible and governing is left to whim.  Daniel Patrick Moynihan famously said: “You are entitled to your opinion. But you are not entitled to your own facts.”  Apparently, he was naïve.

A president who knowingly encourages such ideas and behavior makes even informed debate a relic of a lost past. 

And American democracy thereby loses one more toehold.

Thursday, November 16, 2017

So Far, Democracy's Doing Pretty Well

I’ve been writing this blog to highlight the danger that President Trump presents to our democracy.  While there’s been plenty of bad news, there's good news, too: We have a strong democracy.  

I’ve taken much of the following from a recent opinion piece by Daniel W. Drezner, professor of international politics at Tufts University.  He argues that the structures of our democracy are holding up pretty well, despite Trump’s demagoguery.  

As I’ve written before, our constitutional system contains a series of important checks and balances that keeps any branch of government from overwhelming the others. 
  1. “Federalism puts important legal constraints on what the federal government can impose on the states.
  2. “The Bill of Rights puts important legal constraints on what any level of government can do to the American people.”
  3. On top of that, the government bureaucracy can frustrate even the president who presides over it.
For example, Congress has several times countered the President by failing to repeal Obamacare, refusing to eliminate the filibuster, refusing to ease sanctions on Russia, and insisting on continuing the congressional investigations into the Trump campaign’s possible collusion with Russia during the 2016 election.

The courts have kept the President from some of his most egregious policies, significantly restricting the Muslim travel ban, striking down the attempted transgender ban in the military, and prohibiting the President from withholding federal funds to “sanctuary cities.”

Even the investigators and prosecutors who technically serve under Trump have largely ignored him, as have military judges and juries.  His own agencies have sometimes rebelled.  The Federal Communications Commission, for instance, didn’t even consider Trump’s threat to shut down broadcast media who criticized him … not only because of First Amendment rights but also because the FCC has no legal authority to do so.

The President did succeed in firing FBI director James Comey, but that backfired when Comey’s deputy attorney general, Rod J. Rosenstein, appointed a special prosecutor, Robert Mueller.  Trump did appoint outspoken supporter, Senator Jeff Sessions, to be Attorney General, but he can’t even get Sessions to do what he wants.  Just this week, Trump’s unprecedented attempt to get the Department of Justice to investigate his former opponent Hillary Clinton has caused an uproar in the department.  The recent elections—not only the gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey but also local campaigns across the country—have sent a strong message to Republicans everywhere.

I don’t mean to downplay the very real challenge to our democratic institutions.  Trump’s successes in changing Obama-era regulations have been pernicious:
  1. For instance, the Environmental Protection Agency has rescinded important environmental regulations. 
  2. In finance, brokers are no longer legally required to have their clients’ best interest at heart.
  3. Universities no longer have to pay attention to federal guidelines on investigating sexual assault.
  4. Regulations allowing students some debt relief have been rolled back.
Nevertheless, the good news is that even under this president, democracy is doing pretty well.  The bad news is that he’s only nine months in and there are still three years, two months, and four days to go.

Friday, November 10, 2017

Attacks on the Judiciary

“The decision on Sergeant Bergdahl is a complete and total disgrace to our Country and to our Military,” tweeted President Trump immediately after a military court ruled that Bowe Bergdahl would not receive a prison sentence for desertion.

 In June of 2009 Bergdahl walked off his military base in Afghanistan.  Twenty-four hours later, the Taliban picked him up and held him for five years, during which time he was caged and tortured.  The military tried to rescue him at least once, and a soldier was seriously wounded in the unsuccessful attempt.  Sergeant Bergdahl was ultimately tried and convicted in a military court.  He was dishonorably discharged but received no prison time.  Trump’s tweet was in response to the military ruling. 

Whatever one’s opinion of the court’s ruling, it’s important to focus on the President’s tweet and his later words also condemning the decision.  In the American constitutional system, separation of powers (judicial, legislative, and executive [presidential]) provides an important structure for keeping one branch of government from becoming too powerful.  As I pointed out in my September 24, 2017 post, Toward a Constitutional Crisis, this separation is a bedrock of our democracy.

While not technically an attempt to interfere with the judiciary, Trump’s tweeted critique of the Bergdahl decision is a direct challenge to the legitimacy of the judiciary and the structure of our democracy. 

This is not, of course, his first attack on the judiciary.  During Trump’s campaign, Federal Judge Gonzalo Curiel, overseeing a lawsuit against Trump University, made a ruling favoring the plaintiffs.  Trump tweeted that the judge was a “hater.”  Although Curiel was born in Indiana, Trump called him a “Mexican,” whose heritage meant he could not impartially oversee the case. 

After a another federal judge blocked Trump’s executive order withholding funds from “sanctuary cities,” Trump tweeted that the ruling “undermines faith in our legal system and raises serious questions about circuit shopping,” and he called the decision “egregious overreach by a single, unelected district judge.”  He had similar criticisms against several judges in the decisions against his attempted Muslim immigration bans.

It’s easy enough to think that these tweets are “just words” and, since the President says a lot of outrageous things, we shouldn’t dwell on his outrageous speech.  But much of the power of the presidency lies in the words he speaks.  We call that power the “bully pulpit,” and, especially in a polarized country that so little respects the media, what the president says has an out-sized impact, particularly on his followers. 

It’s also been easy to say that the President doesn’t understand the power of his words.  Almost a year after his inauguration, however, he has no such excuse.  His continual critique of the judiciary is part of the larger attempt to further weaken our trust in government as I described in this previous post
We take our democracy for granted, but democracy is fragile.  It depends completely on our faith in it.  Mistrust will destroy this precious gift.